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An unmistakable market shift.

~ 36%

of the world’s output of tomato paste in 2023 originated from China. More than 80% of this was estimated to have come from Xinjiang.

FAO FAOSTAT / Our World In Data, 2023

17 of 64

retail tomato purées tested were scientifically consistent with Chinese origin, despite Italian labelling or origin claims.

BBC Panorama investigation, 2024

↓ 76%

fall in Chinese processed tomato exports to Italy in the nine months following the 2024 BBC Panorama investigation.

New Food Magazine, Mar 2026

Less than 5%

of shipments detained under the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act are ultimately released by U.S. Customs.

CBP enforcement data, 2026

The black box in tomato supply chains.

Supplier declarations, audits and traceability systems are fundamental to responsible sourcing. They verify what has been declared, confirm that procedures have been followed and record the movement of goods throughout the supply chain.

However, they rely on the accuracy of the information entering the system.

This becomes particularly important in tomato supply chains, where products commonly pass through multiple processors, traders and manufacturers before reaching consumers. While each stage is commercially legitimate, it also increases the distance between the physical product and the documentation describing it.

Where information is incomplete, inaccurate or deliberately misleading, the same records can perpetuate an incorrect origin claim from one participant to the next.

This creates what may be described as an evidentiary gap: organisations can often demonstrate that appropriate processes were followed, but not necessarily that the physical product is consistent with the claim being made.

We test the product, not the paperwork.

As scrutiny of origin claims increases, organisations need to close the gap between documentation and verifiable origin to regain confidence that their supply chains deliver exactly what they declare.

Source Certain combines advanced forensic techniques such as trace element analysis (TEA) and stable isotope ratio analysis (SIRA) to independently verify where tomato products come from by testing the product itself. These techniques can reliably establish whether a product is scientifically consistent with its claimed origin based on naturally occurring chemical signatures that reflect the environmental conditions in which tomatoes were grown.

This allows organisations to proactively identify and address emerging supply chain risks before they develop into regulatory, commercial or reputational exposure.

Discover origin verification

Confidence where it matters most

Not every tomato product, supplier or sourcing region carries the same level of risk.

Rather than testing everything, Source Certain takes a risk-based approach, focusing independent verification on the products, suppliers and sourcing decisions where confidence delivers the greatest commercial value.

Our programmes are designed to integrate with your existing procurement, quality and due diligence processes, making it straightforward to strengthen supplier assurance without adding unnecessary complexity.

Explore some of the areas where organisations are using scientific origin verification to get ahead of sourcing risk.

  • Premium origin claims
  • High volume ingredients
  • High-risk sourcing regions
  • Supplier and sourcing changes
  • Retailer & customer assurance
  • Ongoing supply chain monitoring

Get started with origin verification with 4 easy steps

Watch to find out more

1. Define the risk

We work with you to understand the sourcing questions, products or claims you want to verify, ensuring the program focuses on the areas of greatest commercial importance.

2. Establish a reference

Using samples from approved sourcing locations, we establish a scientifically verified origin profile that forms the foundation for future verification.

3. Verify product origin

Products are sampled from your supply chain or the marketplace and analysed using proprietary forensic methods to establish whether they match their claimed origin.

4. Turn findings into action

You’ll receive clear findings, practical guidance and ongoing support to help investigate issues, protect important claims and strengthen future sourcing decisions.

Trusted by leading organisations across the global food supply chain.

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SIA
ifpa
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tasmanian oyster co

Josh Poke

Strategic Projects Manager

We were pleasantly surprised with the data that Source Certain were able to provide. Not only were we able to see the difference between the regional locations of our oysters, but Source Certain were able to demonstrate that there were identifiable markers evident within bays that were only 500 metres apart. The team at Source Certain were informative and very easy to deal with.

reid fruits logo

Tony Coad

Manager, Marketing and Sales

The sampling analysis reports were fascinating for us and easy to follow. They were clearly able to identify and verify the provenance of cherries to the orchard of origin.

wild prawns logo

Annie Jarrett

Chair

We want consumers to have the confidence that when they buy Australian Wild Prawns, that’s what they are getting. Working with the Source Certain team and the provenance technology, gives consumers the ability to trust our provenance claims and can also track our Australian wild prawns back to the fisheries where they were caught.

Doug Flanagan

Chief Executive Officer of KRR’s High Purity Metals Division

King River Resources is very happy with Source Certain’s performance on our project. From the conception of the project through to the commissioning of the Laboratory Scale Pilot Plant, Source Certain have been collaborative and continued to not just deliver the work but continually provided valuable contribution to ensure a successful outcome.

Frequently Asked Questions

Which tomato products can be verified?

Source Certain can verify a wide range of tomato products, including tomato paste, purées, sauces and other processed tomato ingredients. The most appropriate approach depends on your products, sourcing regions and verification objectives.

Do we need to test every product?

Not necessarily. The goal isn’t to test more products – it’s to better manage risk. Not every product carries the same level of commercial risk, and not every product needs the same level of verification.

We work with you to understand your priorities and where an incorrect sourcing decision could have the greatest impact. From there, we recommend the level of verification needed to balance cost with commercial risk, ensuring your investment is focused where it will have the greatest impact.

How does origin verification fit into our existing supplier assurance programme?

Most organisations already have robust supplier assurance programmes. Origin verification isn’t about replacing those processes; it’s about closing the gap between what your supply chain documentation says and what the product itself can verify.

As supply chains become more complex, origin verification is becoming an increasingly important part of due diligence. Rather than replacing your existing procurement and due diligence processes, it provides an independent layer of evidence that strengthens them, giving you greater confidence in sourcing decisions and helping you identify issues before they become commercial or reputational problems.

What happens if a product isn’t consistent with its claimed origin?

An unexpected result doesn’t automatically indicate fraud. It highlights the need for further investigation and provides organisations with objective evidence to review supplier information, verify sourcing records and take appropriate action before issues escalate.

Get ahead of risk in your tomato supply chain

Confidence can no longer built on documentation alone. Independent origin verification provides evidence that strengthens supplier assurance, protects commercial investment and helps identify issues before they become business problems.
Speak to our team about where verification can deliver the greatest value for your business.

Actionable provenance insights for leaders

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